Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 124.481819 141.864407 161.132567 184.131887 210.911949 241.197988 278.166736
2025-12-07 96.409612 118.100624 144.189625 178.089853 221.280060 274.871026 347.029766
2025-12-14 81.356496 104.830416 134.739103 176.047336 232.254238 306.979610 415.379277
2025-12-21 72.390439 97.173932 130.269073 178.338626 247.444732 344.857305 495.544132
2025-12-28 67.190099 93.485177 130.081464 185.674768 269.658968 394.536273 599.541836
2026-01-04 62.032778 89.029055 127.977214 189.520805 286.674961 438.223402 700.833193
2026-01-11 56.411274 83.154259 122.956756 188.050890 294.869242 468.745778 785.071493
2026-01-18 53.047361 80.229581 121.918875 192.417117 312.582231 516.607637 906.305193
2026-01-25 49.122436 75.990780 118.305777 192.022576 322.026220 551.335071 1009.264876
2026-02-01 46.176642 72.991655 116.309525 193.971052 335.540838 594.758537 1135.744818
2026-02-08 42.551213 68.530804 111.436968 190.317465 338.364895 618.588011 1226.984965
2026-02-15 40.150463 65.890874 109.359451 191.335272 349.838695 660.257542 1362.407576
2026-02-22 37.733266 63.268694 107.506956 193.423403 365.392055 715.907907 1548.169976
2026-03-01 34.222521 58.450181 101.356672 186.837567 363.178518 735.466179 1658.396774
2026-03-08 31.735877 55.218268 97.738842 184.671359 369.626173 774.494725 1824.271992
2026-03-15 30.108008 53.390275 96.520917 187.089527 386.063990 838.471455 2068.643857
2026-03-22 29.262899 52.931551 97.838785 194.834980 415.321121 937.448261 2432.284055
2026-03-29 28.062337 51.674668 97.452777 198.896491 436.800574 1021.720700 2778.848390
2026-04-05 26.382476 49.330903 94.655477 197.344153 444.794292 1073.533337 3044.495335
2026-04-12 25.451422 48.390518 94.624947 201.955458 468.467608 1170.907679 3481.005045
2026-04-19 24.128984 46.542559 92.519123 201.538740 479.459666 1236.058470 3832.985297
2026-04-26 23.127443 45.271479 91.519031 203.596798 497.185251 1323.805869 4291.507946
2026-05-03 21.719339 43.035556 88.222958 199.737857 498.578806 1364.222507 4593.239437